U.S. commercial and multifamily mortgage loan originations decreased 47 percent in the third quarter of 2020 compared to the same period last year, and increased 12 percent from the second quarter of 2020, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Quarterly Survey of Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Originations.
“Borrowing and lending backed by commercial and multifamily mortgages remained subdued during the third quarter,” said Jamie
Woodwell, MBA’s Vice President of Commercial Real Estate Research.
“Every major property type and capital source recorded a decline compared to last year’s third quarter. Originations backed by industrial and multifamily properties saw smaller declines than other property types, with multifamily lending buoyed by loans made for Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and FHA,” he added.
All property types showed a decline in the third quarter in commercial/multifamily lending volumes when compared to the third
quarter of 2019. The third quarter saw a 94 percent year-over-year decrease in the dollar volume of loans for hotel properties, an 83 percent decrease for retail properties, a 58 percent decrease for office properties, a 51 percent decline for health care properties, a 31 percent decrease in multifamily properties, and a 23 percent decrease for industrial property loan originations.
Among investor types, the dollar volume of loans originated for commercial bank portfolio loans declined by 68 percent year-over-year. There was a 58 percent decrease for Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS), a 55 percent decrease in life insurance company loans, and an 8 percent decrease in the dollar volume of Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs – Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) loans.
On a quarterly basis, third quarter originations for industrial properties increased 67 percent compared to the second quarter 2020. There was a 35 percent increase in originations for office properties, a 32 percent increase for health care properties and a 4 percent increase for multifamily properties. Originations for retail properties decreased 27 percent, and originations for hotel properties declined 45 percent.
Among investor types, between the second and third quarter of this year, the dollar volume of loans for CMBS increased 749 percent, loans for GSEs increased 3 percent, originations for life insurance companies decreased 9 percent, and the dollar volume of loans for commercial bank portfolios decreased last quarter, by 21 percent.
”Looking ahead, commercial and multifamily mortgage bankers are expected to close $395 billion of loans backed by income-producing properties in 2020, a 34 percent decline from 2019’s record volume of $601 billion. There remains a great deal of uncertainty about the pandemic and its impacts on the economy and commercial real estate, with significant differences across property types and capital sources. The downturn is putting downward pressure on some property incomes, particularly property types most impacted by the pandemic or with shorter lease terms. With low interest rates and investment yields, property values are likely to hold up better, which should help put a floor under sales and originations volumes this year and next,” added Jamie
Woodwell.
