UK commercial property capital values decline -6.8% in October

UK commercial property capital values decline -6.8% in October

Capital values decreased -6.8% across all UK commercial property in October 2022, according to the latest CBRE Monthly Index.

Over the month, rental value growth was 0.3%. Total returns were -6.4%.

In October, retail capital values decreased -4.8%, representing the smallest decline of all sectors. Retail capital value decreases were driven by standard shops (-5.5%) and retail warehouses (-4.7%). In October, rental value growth was -0.1% for the retail sector. Standard shops reported a rental value growth in line with the sector average, while shopping centres rental values decreased -0.5%. Total returns were -4.3% for the retail sector in October.

The office sector posted a capital value fall of -5.1% in October. Outer London/M25 and rest of the UK offices reported the largest capital value decreases for the month (at -5.9% and -5.4% respectively), while central London recorded a smaller capital value decrease (-4.8%). Rental values for the office sector increased 0.2% in October. Rental growth for central London and outer London/M25 offices were in line with the sector increase, however rest of the UK offices reported lower rental value growth. Over the month, total returns were -4.8% for the Office sector.

In October, the industrial sector posted the highest capital value decrease at -10.6%. Industrials in the South East were the driver of industrial capital value decline (-11.8%), recording a much greater fall than industrials in the rest of the UK (-8.3%). Industrial rental value growth was 0.4% for October. Rental value growth was driven by 0.8% rental growth in industrials in the rest of the UK. In October, industrial total returns were -10.3%.

CBRE UK Monthly Index Snapshot: October 2022

 All PropertyOfficeCentral London OfficeRetailIndustrialOther
Total Return-6.4% -4.8%-4.5%-4.3%-10.3%-6.4%
Capital Value Growth-6.8%-5.1%-4.8%-4.8%-10.3%-3.8%
Rental Value Growth 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%-0.1% 0.4% 0.5%
Source: CBRE